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Gauntlet 2018

Here is the link to the Gauntlet (an AFL website free tipping thingy)
https://tipping.afl.com.au/tipping/index.html#/gauntlet
It begins in round 5 and all you have to do is to tip 1 winner per week; that’s the easier part; the tougher assignment is that you cannot pick the same team more than once in the one season. The last person “alive” is the winner.  The real skill is to tip the lowly teams at the right time.
Tips: it’s very tough to win, so keep expectations at a moderate level
Have a look now at injury lists; who is healthy? who needs a few weeks to come good?  Which team is in a trough? If so, they are likely to pull out of it at some stage;
in the meanwhile, avoid tipping them if you can
There are 19 rounds left; you won’t need to tip in round 23, but it is added in the table below for completeness
Don’t be frightened to be adventurous; last year the Blues beat the Swans in round 6 to make it a 0-6 start for Sydney; but the Blues were rank outsiders that day
Don’t be too adventurous; no need to pick Brisbane to win away from home or a lowly team to win in Adelaide
Plan ahead; the chart below will assist you in doing this. You could even plan out the tips for the whole next 18 rounds – maybe with a few options to amend as the season unfolds
Check especially the bye rounds and those when a low to middle club has an excellent chance of winning
The chart lists each team and who they play round by round with a score out of ten for the likelihood of a win; 0 = no hope up to 10 = absolute certs;
EG: AD = Adelaide Crows; in round 5 they play  Sydney Swans away (ie in Sydney) and they have been assigned a 3 = 30% chance of winning
some H or A games may be neutral of non-standard venues; check fixtures

 

Rd AD  H/A win BR  H/A win CA  H/A win CO  H/A win ES  H/A win FR  H/A win GC  H/A win GE  H/A win GW  H/A win HA  H/A win ME  H/A win NO  H/A win PO  H/A win RI  H/A win ST  H/A win SY  H/A win WB  H/A win WC  H/A win
5 SY A 3 GC H 5 WC H 2 ES H 5 CO A 5 WB H 7 BR A 5 PO A 5 ST A 7 NO A 7 RI H 3 HA H 3 GE H 7 ME A 7 GW H 3 AD H 5 FR A 3 CA A 8
6 GC H 9 GW A 0 WB A 3 RI H 3 ME H 4 WC H 4 AD A 1 SY H 5 BR H 10 ST H 8 ES A 6 PO H 3 NO A 7 CO A 7 HA A 2 GE A 5 CA H 7 FR A 6
7 CA H 9 CO H 3 AD A 1 BR A 7 HA H 5 RI A 1 WB A 2 GW H 5 GE A 5 ES A 5 ST A 8 SY A 1 WC A 5 FR H 9 ME H 2 NO H 9 GC H 8 PO H 5
8 PO A 5 WB A 2 ES H 3 GE H 4 CA A 7 ST H 8 ME H 4 CO A 6 WC H 8 SY H 4 GC A 6 RI H 2 AD H 5 NO A 8 FR A 2 HA A 6 BR H 8 GW A 2
9 WB H 8 HA H 3 ME H 2 ST A 6 GE H 3 SY A 1 PO H 3 ES A 7 NO A 7 BR A 7 CA A 8 GW H 3 GC A 7 WC A 5 CO H 4 FR H 9 AD A 2 RI H 5
10 ME A 5 SY H 2 GE A 1 WB H 5 GW A 2 NO H 8 BYE CA H 9 ES H 8 WC H 8 AD H 5 FR A 2 BYE ST H 7 RI A 3 BR A 8 CO A 5 HA A 2
11 GW H 6 NO A 2 SY A 0 FR H 8 RI H 3 CO A 2 GE H 3 GC A 7 AD A 4 PO H 5 WB A 7 BR H 8 HA A 5 ES A 7 WC A 3 CA H # ME H 3 ST H 7
12 FR A 5 ES H 3 BYE ME A 4 BR A 7 AD H 5 GW A 1 NO H 8 GC H 9 BYE CO H 6 GE A 2 RI H 5 PO A 5 SY H 4 ST A 6 BYE BYE
13 HA A 5 BYE FR H 4 BYE BYE CA A 6 ST H 4 RI H 4 BYE AD H 5 BYE BYE WB H 8 GE A 6 GC A 6 WC H 8 PO A 2 SY A 2
14 BYE GW H 2 CO A 3 CA H 7 WC A 2 BYE HA A 2 BYE BR A 8 GC H 8 PO A 3 WB A 4 ME H 7 BYE BYE BYE NO H 6 ES H 8
15 WC H 8 FR A 1 PO H 3 GC A 5 NO H 6 BR H 9 CO H 5 WB A 6 HA H 8 GW A 2 ST H 7 ES A 4 CA A 7 SY H 6 ME A 3 RI A 4 GE H 4 AD A 2
16 RI A 4 CA H 4 BR A 6 ES A 5 CO H 5 ME A 2 NO A 3 SY A 3 WC A 6 WB A 6 FR H 8 GC H 7 ST H 8 AD H 6 PO A 2 GE H 7 HA H 4 GW H 4
17 GE H 7 HA A 1 ST A 3 WC H 6 GC A 5 PO H 5 ES H 5 AD A 3 RI H 6 BR H 9 WB H 6 SY H 3 FR A 5 GW A 4 CA H 7 NO A 7 ME A 4 CO A 4
18 BR A 9 AD H 1 HA H 1 NO H 6 FR H 8 ES A 2 SY A 1 ME H 6 PO A 4 CA A 9 GE A 4 CO A 4 GW H 6 ST A 8 RI H 2 GC H 9 WC A 3 WB H 7
19 ME H 8 GE A 1 GC A 2 RI A 3 SY H 4 HA H 6 CA H 8 BR H 9 ST H 8 FR A 4 AD A 2 WC H 5 WB A 4 CO H 7 GW A 2 ES A 6 PO H 6 NO A 5
20 PO H 5 NO H 4 GW H 1 SY A 2 HA A 4 WC A 4 ME A 2 RI A 3 CA A 9 ES H 6 GC H 8 BR A 6 AD A 5 GE H 7 WB H 4 CO H 8 ST A 6 FR H 6
21 GW A 3 CO A 1 FR A 1 BR H 9 ST H 5 CA H 9 RI H 2 HA A 5 AD H 7 GE H 5 SY H 4 WB H 4 WC H 8 GC A 8 ES A 5 ME A 6 NO A 6 PO A 2
22 NO H 9 GC A 3 WB H 2 PO H 5 RI A 3 GE A 2 BR H 7 FR H 8 SY H 5 ST A 6 WC A 4 AD A 1 CO A 5 ES H 7 HA H 4 GW A 5 CA A 8 ME H 6
23 CA A 9 WC H 2 AD H 1 FR A 3 PO A 3 CO H 7 GE A 2 GC H 8 ME A 5 SY A 3 GW H 5 ST A 4 ES H 7 WB H 7 NO H 6 HA H 7 RI A 3 BR A 8

as a very quick example, here is a plan – first team listed (gw = Giants) to win round 5; second team (Dogs) round 6 etc
gw     wb   ad   es   me   sy   no   ge   ca   ha   fr   br   st   wc   gc   ri   co   po

PS: for all those wondering – a draw keeps you “alive” in Gauntlet