Round 10, 2015 Penny

Technical Analysis prior to R10, 2015

By Penny Dredfell

Added 04 Jun 2015

While fundamental analysis (used by most media tipsters) takes into account the ability of the two competing teams, the home ground advantage, injuries, team changes etc, technical analysis looks for trends and patterns which explain the otherwise inexplicable.

Reviewing last week: “Look for a quick start by the Dogs and a likely win” Wow; just about perfect. On that note I should retire!


This week, the temptation was to go for the Giants to bounce back strongly after their shock loss last week.  But the other technical analysis (good, shocker third week and mid team coming up after 2nd big low) tends to suggest that the Giants could underperform.  But with the Lions being do decimated with injuries, the game doesn’t hold a huge deal of interest.

The Roos / Eagles game in Perth holds a great deal of interest – with the Eagles narrow favourites.  The boys from the west are in great form, but the Roos let a huge 39 point half time lead slip.

“It’s as disgusting a performance as I’ve been involved with since I’ve been at North Melbourne,” said Scott.

This gives us a clue which is a technical lead.  The team, minus their coach who had a back op during the week, is certain to be digging deep this time.  The way that teams normally win after this type of gut-wrenching game is to dominate the early part of the game.

The best recent example of this is when the Roos lost to Adelaide when 30 points up mid last term in 2013.  The next week, the Roos were expected to beat the Saints by about 4 goals, but they were 9:7 to 1:0 at quarter time and the rest is hysteria – going on to win by 68 points.

The opposition this week is of better calibre than the 2013 Saints team.  But there is still the likelihood that the Roos will fly out of the blocks on Sunday.

On a showery and windy day, it might be the good break they need if they can kick with whatever wind advantage exists.

Because the Eagles are going so well, I wouldn’t call the Roos complete certs; but I am quite keen on them to pull off a minor upset