Real NAB Cup form

 

NAB CUP form seasonally adjusted

Red figures represent a measure of the depth of talent left out of the team in each NAB match, but that are expected to be available for R1.  Numbers are derived by using 4 for superstars (Ablett, Swan, Cox etc), 3 for stars, 2 for contributors and 1 for fringe players
Example: NAB round 2 Fremantle’s score of 11 was made up of Barlow (3), Hill (2), Mayne (2), Pavlich (4).  Sandilands (4) did not play but was not included in the figures because he is not expected to play R1.

As well as the red number, allowances are also made for travel-weariness, days break between games, playing conditions and players short of a gallop.  This all gets compiled into the “seasonally adjusted” scores for each NAB Cup game below.  Following on from the Fremantle round 2 example, the Blues (with a red score of 17) thrashed the Dockers (with a red score of 11) by 70 points in Melbourne.

The score out of 6 given (see for each team below) for this would usually be 6 out of 6 for Carlton and 2.2 for the Dockers.  The red scores would indicate that the Blues’ form was even better than that.  But allowance was made for the fact that Freo played a practice match in Adelaide the week before and were, therefore, travelling east two weeks in a row.  And they also got some credit because Fyfe was short of a gallop.

The end result is how teams REALLY went as a guide to their form leading in to R1.

AFL NAB Cup fixture – 2013

Round 1

Week 1
Friday, February 15 – 6:45pm (EDT)

Collingwood 16 v Essendon 14 v Western Bulldogs 16 at Etihad Stadium

Saturday, February 16 – 4:40pm (WST)

West Coast Eagles 22 v Fremantle 16 v Geelong Cats 11 at Patersons Stadium

Sunday, February 17 – 4:10pm (CDT)

Adelaide Crows 29 v Port Adelaide 14 v St Kilda 21at AAMI Stadium

Week 2
Friday, February 22 – 6:45pm (EDT)

Richmond 9 v Melbourne 13 v North Melbourne 5 at Etihad Stadium

Saturday, February 23 – 6:40pm (EST)

Brisbane Lions 17 v Gold Coast Suns 14 v Hawthorn 18 at Metricon Stadium

Sunday, February 24 – 4:40pm (EDT)

GWS Giants 15 v Sydney Swans 25 v Carlton 12 at Blacktown ISP

Round 2

Friday, March 1

Western Bulldogs 10 v Hawthorn 19, 7:40pm (EDT) at Etihad Stadium

Saturday, March 2

Geelong Cats 21 v Adelaide Crows 12, 2:40pm (EDT) at Simonds Stadium

Gold Coast Suns 7 v North Melbourne 11, 3:30pm (EST) at Townsville

Essendon 13 v Richmond 15, 5:10pm (EDT) at Wangaratta

GWS Giants 17 v Brisbane Lions 13 7:00pm (EDT) at Wagga

Carlton 17 v Fremantle 11, 7:40pm (EDT) at Etihad Stadium

Sunday, March 3

Port Adelaide 19 v Melbourne 26, 4:00pm (CDT) at Renmark

St Kilda 22 v Sydney Swans 17, 5:10pm (EDT) at Etihad Stadium

West Coast Eagles 10 v Collingwood 23, 4:40pm (WST) at Patersons Stadium

Round 3

Friday, March 8

GWS Giants 17 v Essendon 14, 6:10pm (EDT) at Manuka Oval

Adelaide Crows 4 v Carlton 10, 8:10pm (CDT) at AAMI Stadium

Saturday, March 9

Hawthorn 24 v Richmond 8, 1:10pm (EDT) at Aurora Stadium

Melbourne 8 v St Kilda 10, 2:30pm (EDT) at Casey Fields

Fremantle 2 v Western Bulldogs 23, 3:30pm (WST) at Northam

Geelong Cats 18 v North Melbourne 10, 3:40pm (EDT) at Simonds Stadium

Collingwood 22 v Brisbane Lions 13, 6:40pm (EDT) at Etihad Stadium

West Coast Eagles 5 v Port Adelaide 8, 7:00pm (CST) at Alice Springs

Sydney Swans 7 v Gold Coast Suns 14, 7:00pm (EDT) at Blacktown ISP

Grand Final & NAB 4 matches**

Friday, March 15

Carl 0* v Bris 0 Etihad * Scotland did not play but is suspended R1&2

NAB4 Matches
Friday 15 March
Geel 3* v Coll 6 Kardinia Park * Steve Johnson & Kelly did not play but are suspended R1

Sat 16 March
Haw 8 v North 18* Craigeburn * McMahon did not play but is suspended R1; Harvey played but is suspended R1-6

GCS 4* v Melb 3 Southport Oval * Brown did not play but is suspended R1-6

GWS 2 v STK 2 Blacktown
Rich 4 v WBD 4 Princes Park, Carlton
Port 9 V Syd 4 AAMI Stadium, Adelaide

** The Crows, dons, Dockers and Eagles do not play NAB4 because they play in the 2 early games in R1.

 

Score for NAB 1, 2, 3 and 4 where 0 is useless and 6 is sensational.

Adelaide Crows 3.4       1.6       3.7       BYE    struggling

Brisbane Lions 4          2.8       5          5.5       momentum

Carlton 3.1       5.2       4.2       1.3       new broom

Collingwood 4.5       6          3          2.5       injuries

Essendon 4          3.8       4.8       BYE    consistent

Fremantle 3.5       2.8       4.5       BYE    building

Geelong Cats                      4          5.4       4.4       5.5       eager to begin well

Gold Coast Suns                3.2       3          3.2       3.4       reasonable

GWS Giants                         3.3       2.8       0.8       3.2       patchy

Hawthorn 2.8       3.5       4.8       4.9       building nicely

Melbourne 3.9       4          3.1       2.5       competitive

North Melbourne 2.8       3          3.6       3.2       struggling a tad

Port Adelaide                       3.5       2          4          3.7       patchy but ok

Richmond 4.5       4.3       3.6       3.8       reasonable

St Kilda                                 3.7       4.8       3.9       2.5       consistent

Sydney Swans                    2.4       3.4       3.8       3.5       building slowly

West Coast Eagles 4          2.2       3          BYE    poor start

Western Bulldogs             2          3.5       1.8       3          in a big rebuild

 

So, the seasonally adjusted NAB Cup ladder looks like this

Geelong Cats          4.8

Brisbane Lions       4.3

Essendon                 4.2

Richmond 4.1

Collingwood                        4

Hawthorn                 4

St Kilda                     3.7

Fremantle                 3.6

Carlton 3.5

Melbourne 3.4

Port Adelaide           3.3

Sydney Swans        3.3

Gold Coast Suns    3.2

North Melbourne 3.2

W. Coast Eagles     3.1

Adelaide Crows      2.9

West. Bulldogs       2.6

GWS Giants             2.5